Green Bay has done under 4-of-5 because they are committed to the run with rookie Eddie Lacy playing well.

With injuries to Randall Cobb and James Jones, Jordy Nelson is far and away the Packers' top threat in the passing game, hauling in 39 passes for 649 yards and seven touchdowns. But after Nelson, Rodgers is forced to throw to relative unknowns. Green Bay tight end Jermichael Finley (25-300-3) is out indefinitely.

Nelson is a solid veteran but if he is your only reliable option, seems like Green Bay has all kind of motivation to keep the ball on the ground.

Jay Cutler is out for Chicago at QB. Josh McCown is a journeyman veteran taking his place. The high total is based on both teams reputation and not the current dynamics