The way Mercer reacted after their upset of Duke, they look like a team that blew their load. I cannot see them avoiding a letdown. Tennessee is very undervalued because of a bunch of tough losses. Not only have they covered 6-of-7, but the only spread setback was to No. 1 Florida by a point with five of the covers by at least 15 points.

Their last five losses were all by single digits, three of those by five or fewer. In fact, 11 of their 12 losses were by single digits!

On the other hand, their last 10 wins were by 13 or more, granted the OT rout over Iowa a bit deceiving.