MSU knows that following their loss to Oregon (an easy Wise guy winner for us), they must blow out every team (and get some help from other power conference teams losing), while running the table, to sneak into the national championship picture. Yes, we will say it: style points.

In their only road game Wyoming was drilled by that same Oregon team 48-14. Meanwhile Michigan State is outscoring teams by 48.5 in two home games. Wyoming has three wins by a combined 10 points. We have said time and time again, one of the most overrated stats in handicapping is straight up record. Wyoming is very lucky to be 3-1 straight up and are not as good as that record implies.

Wyoming is going from a wide-open offense to a ball control one and it is a big adjustment. With Michigan State only allowing 2.6 yards per rushing attempt versus teams normally getting 3.7, look for the Pokes to be shut down.