Pitt is literally getting worse every game. They covered their first by 38 and their second by five. They have missed their last three in order by 7.5, 10.5, and 32. Virginia is a perfect 5-0 by an average of 9.3 points per game against the spread.

Virginia head coach Mike London has a history of going from goat to genius and back. His squad is especially dominant on defense allowing 2.6 yards per rushing attempt versus squads that usually get 3.5 and just 6.8 yards per pass to 7.2. Virginia has actually won the net yardage in all but one game. They are a bit under the radar and catching a Pitt team that is going downhill.