Knee jerk reaction by the public would be to bet the home team as the home team 4-1 this year with blowouts the rule. However as we pointed out last week, there is a true sharp angle that would not apply to either team this week that accurately explains why there have been blowouts.

The home team would have a modest advantage on a short week, but the Texas off OT emotional loss to Cowboys. Also superstar RB Arian Foster (23 carries for 157 yards and two touchdowns) on short week. He is a very physical running back and

At NY Giants, week after playing across the country at Oakland. Colts 3-2 straight up losing at Denver and to Philly by combined 10 points, which is no disgrace.
Though both 4-1 against the spread Colts by (+7.4), Houston by (+2.8), which says the Texans have had some good fortune. Again that is margin of cover, not victory, so the stat says that the Colts mark is genuine.

Colts biggest edge at QB and WR. Yes they have weaknesses elsewhere, but in 2014 the two most important areas to excel are QB and WR. Houston is horrid at QB. The road favorite is the answer.