There is finally a regression to the mean. As the tempo of college football exploded, sharps like us were betting a lot of overs in high scoring games. But now the once very strong rule-of-thumb that the higher the total, the more likely it is to go under has returned.

Finally the oddsmakers have caught up and since September 28, 2013 totals of 73 or higher have gone under 22-9 in regular season. It is 22-8 when it is on one of the teams home field. Admittedly the one regular season neutral game and two postseason have gone over. However we have explained in analysis of said bowl totals why bowl games are more likely to go over.