Arizona bubble burst off loss. True it is not as great with bye but still a very strong angle. We always tell you the most overrated stat in handicapping against the spread is straight up record. Arizona last four wins by seven or less, so they have been fortunate.

On the other hand Washington State has three losses by seven or less. Washington State gets 6.5 yards per play to teams normally allowing 5.7 which is better than Arizona 6.3 to 5.8. On defense, WSU allows just 6.0 to 5.9 Arizona 5.9 to 5.8.

Arizona just two of seven games on road, while Washington State just 3-of-7 have been at home. The key numbers suggest Arizona is not as good as their deceptive straight up mark, while WSU is better.

WSU Connor Halliday has completed 292 of 438 of his attempts this season for 3,344 yards. He has thrown 28 touchdowns and had eight passes intercepted. My indicators say Arizona biggest square bet.