PREMIUM
Wise Guy
(NFL) Green Bay vs. New Orleans,
Point Spread: -1.50 | -105.00 New Orleans (Home)
Result: Win
Point Spread: -1.50 | -105.00 New Orleans (Home)
Result: Win
Sunday Night Game of the Year
This is a Performance Gap Analysis pick.
Based on years of experience, and significant trial and error, we have developed a performance gap analysis. It is based on the statistical hypothesis testing and concludes that yards per rush, yards per pass, and yards per play on offense and defense are most indicative of talent and less variable. They are lead indicators.
Yards per point and turnovers are more affected by random chance or luck and/or more correctable, hence more variable and tougher to maintain. They are lag indicators.
The former is more a precursor to future results than the latter and a dichotomy between the two subsets measures upside/downside.
The specific Performance Gap Analysis pick says that a team with a bad turnover ratio and a very inefficient defense based on yards per point has a big upside is 1172-976-45 with a z-score of 4.19.
The home team is a stunning 6-0 straight up in the Saints games again this year. Their stats are a bit deceptive as four of their six games have been on the road. With the Saints almost unbeatable at home the last two years and the incredible angles pointing towards them it is the strongest SNF game this season.
This is a Performance Gap Analysis pick.
Based on years of experience, and significant trial and error, we have developed a performance gap analysis. It is based on the statistical hypothesis testing and concludes that yards per rush, yards per pass, and yards per play on offense and defense are most indicative of talent and less variable. They are lead indicators.
Yards per point and turnovers are more affected by random chance or luck and/or more correctable, hence more variable and tougher to maintain. They are lag indicators.
The former is more a precursor to future results than the latter and a dichotomy between the two subsets measures upside/downside.
The specific Performance Gap Analysis pick says that a team with a bad turnover ratio and a very inefficient defense based on yards per point has a big upside is 1172-976-45 with a z-score of 4.19.
The home team is a stunning 6-0 straight up in the Saints games again this year. Their stats are a bit deceptive as four of their six games have been on the road. With the Saints almost unbeatable at home the last two years and the incredible angles pointing towards them it is the strongest SNF game this season.
