We roll with the Over in this contest as after being beaten twice by Smyly it is hard to imagine the Orioles do not bounce-back against him in a big way. It is very difficult for a pitcher to beat a team 3 times in a row without that team having no success against him the third time out per our models. Sure, the line is low which indicates a low scoring contest, but it is also a let down for Smyly coming off a shutout performance against the Red Sox as well. So, a let down for Smyly, revenge for the Orioles batters combined with the Rays needing to bounce-back offensively after a poor showing yesterday helps the over here. Its likely to go over the posted total despite both these pitchers with relatively low eras on Friday night.