The Orioles starter today Zimmermann has struggled with a 4.96 ERA but an expected ERA of 6.25, which ranks in the bottom 5% of the league.

In each of their last seven games, both Peterson and Zimmermann have both allowed 19 earned runs. Peterson, however, did so on 28 hits, while Zimmermann allowed 43 hits. Zimmermann has 79.5% left on base percentage this year, which is right around the likes of Gerrit Cole and Shane Bieber. Expect more of those base runners to turn into runs soon.

Both of these starters average fewer than five innings per outing and that means we will get both bullpens at full strength and mangers likely be quick to turn to the ‘pen, knowing they have their full arsenal to use.

That is where the Mets should have a big advantage. It is strange to think of New York having one of the most reliable bullpens in the league, but that is what its relief corps has been this season. Over the last two weeks, Mets relievers have the best ERA in the league and a league-best .201 batting average against.

The Orioles bullpen ranks 24th in ERA over the last two weeks and teams are batting .262 against them, 26th in the league. The Orioles are off a huge 18 run game on Sunday but I expect the Mets to cool them off here on Tuesday night.