Air Force fits for me across the board. I have a very strong preference for bowl underdogs that have great rushing stats, and the Falcons certainly qualify on that count.


Service Academies excel in bowls (AF 3-1 ATS since 2013) and with this being only the second bowls for the Falcons since 2016 they are thrilled. The Air Force D is #7 in the country holding opponents to 83 YPG under their average. Louisville has success with QB Cunningham running the ball (#1 w.968, 6.0) but Air Force practices against a mobile QB daily. Louisville D allows over 400 YPG and away from home they are allowing 469 YPG (#113).



Air Force should win this one on Tuesday afternoon behind their defense and tough rushing attack.