The Lightning has struggled lately but Andrei Vasilevsky now has a couple games under his belt after his bout with COVID, and Nikita Kucherov could come off the IL tonight. Lightning are 11-3-3 at home and the Flames are pretty good on the road at 13-5-2 but they have lost 5 of their last 7 games overall.

Tampa Bay has scored three goals or more in seven out of the last 10 games and they rank 10th in goals per game.
Lastly, Tampa Bay is 7-3 in the last 10 games against Calgary and with a home-ice advantage, the Lightning should win this game.