The Mets are averaging 4.78 runs per game and 4.70 runs per game on the road. They averaged 2.67 runs per game in their last three games against the Reds. With Cincinnati giving up 5.97 runs per game at home, the Mets will go over their average in this game.
With New York giving up 4.50 runs per game on the road, the Reds will score enough runs in this hitters ballpark to take this one OVER THE POSTED TOTAL!

Take the over, 9.5 runs.