OKC got pounded on Sat by Dallas and gave up 146 pts a season high in regulation. I expect them to bounce back at home here on Sunday. The Thunder have only lost 4 games all season by 10 or more pts and they've responded every time with a big win.

The Sacramento Kings have hit a bump, losing two of their last three games. The Thunder are difficult to beat at home where they have only lost six home games all season.

Furthermore, Oklahoma City is the superior team here. They are averaging 2.4 more points per 100 possessions and defensively the Thunder are allowing 4.8 fewer points per 100 and rank 4th in defensive rating. The Kings are not a good defensive team on the road and I like the Thunder here at home to get the WIN and COVER on Sunday.