Buffalo won the last encounter between these 2 teams, 21-14. Miami comes in after a disappointing loss facing Arizona last week. Miami needs a win like this to stay in the slim hopes of a playoff spot. The Phins offense looks very different with Tua under center, and that will help them in this game, even in Buffalo as the weather will be nice and no winds. Buffalo 3rd down numbers do not jump off the page by any means, they are 21st in conversion rate at 37.0%, 22nd in giving up 3rd down conversions to opponents at 39.6%. Miami keeps this close.