The Texans got pounded last week at home and there season is on the line Sunday. I'm backing the Houston Texans plus the 6 pts. This is a MUST WIN for the Texas as they sit a T 2-4 right now. Houston's QB Matt Schaub is a GTD and their backup is TJ Yates, So far Houston is 0-6 ATS in 2013 The Chiefs got a bunch of turnovers late last week versus Oakland as the game was tied late into the 4th quarter. Smith has only tossed 7 TD passes and is very conservative.
The Chiefs won 24-7 over the Raiders, but that score was a bit misleading and actually when you look back at a lot of the Chiefs game this year the results have been misleading, but it gives us great value on the Chiefs opponent again this week. The Chiefs weakness is the Texans strength. Texans can still run the ball and with a rookie QB in there this week that's what they will get back to in what will be a gritty win. Case Keenum can sling it, but he's going to be asked to win with a simple game plan with running and play action and that will get good results vs. the Chiefs as they are ranked 30th in rushing yards per carry. The Houston Texans may not win this game but I expect a FULL EFFORT and I'll gladly take the 6 points with the underdog here.