Albany wins with good defense and that's what you need this time of the year in the tournament action. Albany is looking for their 1st NCAA Tournament win and have 3 Seniors leading the way as they are allowing 63.8 points per game defensively. Mt. St Mary's played 3 teams that are in the NCAA Tournament and they lost by at least 30 points to each. Albany on the other hand only lost to Pitt by 12 points and what is even more impressive they held them to 58 points. Mt. St. Mary's can score, but unfortunately they've done it against a weak schedule and their defense is among the worst. Mt. St Mary's relies on the three pointers shooting over 40% of their shots from beyond the arch which is always a risk. On the other hand Albany will take nearly 75% of their shots from inside and that's where they will have an advantage. Mt. St. Mary's is arguably the worst defense in any post season tourney. A nice stat to consider is Albany continues their dominance on neutral courts where they have gone 10-1 ATS in their last 11. Lay the small number with Albany.