So the Bills are going to win this game. No doubt in my mind. But by 13.5 points? Miami will have a nobody at QB, but still, the defense can play; they have weapons, and they are a playoff team. The average point differential for a home team in the playoffs in a win is 4.6. Then there is the public money. The vast majority is on the Bills, and I don't see the book taking a big hit on a playoff game. So I am going against my instincts and making a contrarian play here. Take the Fish plus 13.5.