This is an 8* NL TOTAL on the OVER Reds/Brewers.

I've played the OVER in the last two games of this four series, and I've lost both times.

I think Sunday's game, despite each starter coming into it in decent form over the first half, finally sets up as a SLUG-FEST.

Cincinnati hands the ball to Luis Castillo, who is 3-10 with a 4.81 ERA and 1.40 WHIP. He's also 1-5 with a 4.85 ERA on the road.

The home side goes with Brandon Woodruff, who is 7-4 with a 2.10 ERA, and who comes in off a loss to the Mets on Monday, allowing four runs over 6.1 innings.

Woodruff has been great, but regression appears to be setting in already after his great start. I think that continues here against a Reds team going for a 3-1 series victory.

The Brewers won't be rolling over as they try to tie it up.

The Reds have seen the total go UNDER in four straight. The Brewers have seen the total go UNDER in seven straight.

I say that Sunday's game finally flies well OVER the posted number as the game comes down the stretch.

Good luck, NP