10* BOOKIEKILLER - +$24,000 NBA RUN!
(NBA) Philadelphia vs. New Orleans,
Total: 228.00 | -110.00 Under
Result: Loss
This is a 10* TOTAL BOOKIEKILLER on the UNDER 76ers/Pelicans.

Both teams have been playing to several higher-scoring games of late, but I believe those trends end this evening.

Philadelphia is coming off the 116-111 loss to Washington. With players like Joel Embiid and James Harden, you'd think the 76ers would be one of the top offensive teams in the league, but that's not the case, as they average just 111.7 PPG, which is ranked 21st.

Most nights Philly gets the job done defensively. And for its offense to really be firing on all cylinders, they run that offense through Embiid, which means they set up a lof of half-court sets on the offensive end. That means that typically they'll slow things down for a moment to set up the play on the other end.

One thing I'm always looking at is the schedule of each team. Philadelphia has an interesting upcoming schedule. After this it plays at Oklahoma City tomorrow, and then it has New Year's day off, before a rematch vs. the Pelicans at home on the 2nd.

When these teams played on January 25th, the 76ers won by a score of 117-107, and the total went OVER the number of 212.

Today's number is over 15 points larger than that one, and in my opinion, it's just a bit too high now.

New Orleans does average 117.8 PPG this year, which ranks third, but the Pelicans have interestingly seen the total go UNDER the number in eight of their last 12 in trying to avenge a ten points or greater loss versus an opponent.

The Pelicans have seen the total go OVER the number in four of their last five games, but in my opinion, all signs point to this matchup against the 76ers as being a much more defensive one than what the oddsmakers are trying to lead us to believe.

This number is high, the play is the UNDER.

Good luck, NP