I am looking for a close game that like the semi-final games could come down to the last possession. The Huskies won their three games before the Sugar Bowl by an average of just 2.7 points per game. Michigan has one of the best defenses in the country at least on paper but playing in the Big 10, they have not seen an offense like Washington’s. Penix Jr.'s ability to elude Michigan’s pressure will give him that extra second needed to find an open man downfield. Michigan has a good pass rush but Washington’s O-line won the award for best offensive line this season. Washington gave up 11 sacks in 14 games while averaging 37 pass attempts per game. Texas and Oregon (in both games) were able to run on Washington but it did not bring either team victory. Washington's defense ranked 25th in opponent yards per attempt and 29th in opponent QB rating. If Washington can get up two scores early, I still am not sold on McCarthy as a passer to bring them back when it matters. Take the points in this one as I see this being a field goal game.

Play on Washington. This is a 5% play.