While the Chiefs have been synonymous with offensive firepower in recent years, their performance this season has seen a notable shift, reflected in their 5-12-0 record against the over. This suggests that, despite their history, the Chiefs have been involved in lower-scoring contests this season. Additionally, the frigid conditions at Arrowhead Stadium, with temperatures around zero degrees and a 50% chance of snow, create an environment less conducive to the high-scoring, fast-paced "track team" style often associated with the Miami Dolphins. Traveling to play in the cold can disrupt offensive rhythm, and the Dolphins' less-than-ideal record as road underdogs adds further weight to the argument for a lower-scoring game. Taking into account these factors, the Under 43.5 slaps you in the face and begs you to take it.

Prediction: Under 43.5