Baltimore has the edge on the mound and at the plate in this game. Boston’s Brayan Bello is 3-1 with a 4.73 ERA and a 1.09 WHIP in 26.2 innings when pitching on the road this season while Grayson Rodriguez is 3-0 with a 1.14 ERA in 23.2 innings on his home mound. When it comes to offenses this month, the Red Sox are 18th in OPS and are putting up 3.83 runs in 24 games, compared to the Orioles, who are 10th in OPS and are putting up 4.61 runs in 23. Baltimore has a deep lineup and there is not an easy out. I look for Baltimore to get the job done at home.

Play on Baltimore. This is a 3% play.