Nottingham Forest has allowed over 1.5 goals to the opposing team in 4 of the last 5 straight, losing 4 of those last five as well. Brighton has only lost to Tottenham in the last 5 and have scored 2+ goals in 4 of those last 5. This is a win for Brighton obviously, but I also see them winning by more than 1 goal, given the recent poor play from Nottingham, and the opportunity to get into the top 5 being a real possibility for Brighton in the season ending stretch. Brighton are also the better defensive team, having only allowed 2 goals on the road 2 times in the last 5 matches and shouldn't worry about Nottingham scoring 2 goals on them at all.

Official Play: Brighton -1 handicap