This total and over under started at Louisville -41 & Over/Under of 45. Odd, and that was the best number to bet, but I still want the over at 42.5 because Louisville should be able to post 50 points at home in this matchup vs Murray State who's QB only passed for a little over 120 yards but the team still managed to wipe the floor with Presbyterian. Louisville on the other side won vs Georgia Tech 39-34 in what will be a step down in competition heading into this game vs Murray State who already seem to rely too much on the ground game to get up the field. I don't see Louisville holding Murray state scoreless or even under 14 points so I'll take the over in this match-up where both teams are riding high off first wins of the season and should be looking to both get into the upper 20's in scoring, especially Jake Plummer for Louisville who through 3 Touchdowns in game one of the season.

Official Play: Over 48.5

Side Bet: Murray State +42.5

Hail Mary: Jake Plummer over 2.5 passing TDs