I'm betting the Under in this NCAAF Championship game for these reasons:

- Michigan is by far the best defensive team Washington has seen, and should have issues moving the chains on 3rd down situations that they excelled in vs Texas. Washington had 25 first downs and dominated time of possession vs Texas, which won't be the case in this game.

- Michigan are #2 in passing yard defense and #4 in overall yards per play, so limiting the big play opportunities of Penix's arm talent is going to be the main focus for Michigan. Making this an inches by inches game.

- Penix Jr is a pocket passer, and Michigan as we seen vs Alabama will force pressure around the pocket to make QBs have to run the ball and make quick decision making, which all limits the fast movement down the field and kills the clock. Should be plenty of punts here.

- Michigan are projected to win this game, and are only passing the ball an average of 24 times a game. That's not the type of play you want from an offense in a high scoring game of this total (57). A good defensive team like Michigan that knows they have the better defense here, will limit the better Offense of Washington by running the ball themselves on offense, to dictate the pace of the game.

- Michigan only allowing an average of 10 points per game, and Washington only allow an average of 24 points per game.

Official Play: Under 57

Side Bet: Blake Corum 1st TD Scorer for Michigan

Side Bet: Blake Corum over 1.5 TDs

Hail Mary: Michigan -4.5