Im on the over in this game of STL University @ Dayton for these reasons:

- SLU are allowing too many points on the road this season, allowing an average of 84 points per road game in the last 4.

- Last 5 games for SLU have gone over, and they are 10-5 to the over this season.

- Dayton have been very good defensively but they aren't keen on stopping the three point shot (32% shooting allowed from deep) but SLU are 38% shooters from long range.

- Dayton should have a better opportunity to score on SLU when the Belkins turn this into a track meet, because SLU are allowing an average of 76 points per season and surprisingly Dayton is averaging more points than last season (73 points scored per game).

- Even against Dayton, I see SLU putting up 70 points here, so Dayton are going to need to do the same to successful cover this large 13 point spread that I'm avoiding to bet on.

Official Play: Over 142.5

Side Bet: St Louis University +13