I like the short number with Denver laying -4.5 at home vs Philadelphia for these reasons:

- Tyrese Maxey question to play with an anke injury from the last outing vs Pacers where they were blown our embarrassingly.

- Denver coming off an embarrassing loss to The Knicks where they didn't even hit 100 points.

- 76ers are 1-3 ATS on the road in their last 4, and struggle with teams who can make their presence felt in the painted area (Nuggets are the better rebounding and scoring team inside the paint).

- The Nuggets are the better team overall, and the only time the 76ers beat the Nuggets in Denver (while Joel and Jokic have been in the leagues) was when Jamal Murray didn't play. 76ers are 1-3 vs Denver in Denver.

- Revenge spot for Denver who lost to Philly in Philly 126 to 121. It's likely they split wins here.

- Three Pointers. We seen what the Pacers did to Philly from long range and it's likely to be the game plan for Denver in this game at home with the team shooting 37% from three point range and have all 5 starters shooting over 36% from deep.

Official Play: Denver -4.5

Side Bet: Jamal Murray over 34.5 Points Rebounds and Assists

Hail Mary: Over 228.5

-