NBA - Wizards @ Spurs
(NBA) Washington vs. San Antonio,
Total: 241.00 | -110.00 Over
Result: Loss
I'm on the over of 240 in this matchup of Washington @ San Antonio for these reasons:

- Wizards are 30th in points allowed but surprisingly 16th in Points scored.

- Spurs are 26th in points allowed and 23rd in points scored, but like instated in the previous reason, the Wizards aren't defensively talented and the Spurs at home should easily hit their season average of 112+ here in this match-up.

- One thing the Wizards aren't going to do, is rebound. They are 30th in rebounding and going up against a bigger team in San Antonio with 7'2 Wemby manning the paint, he should FEAST on Washington and generate alot of points and second chance opportunities.

- Wizards are 24th in Free throws allowed which is going to stop the clock alot during this game sending Spurs players to the line and they shoot 78% as a team this season.

- It's sounds like we should take the Wizards free of doubt, but the reason I'm more in favor of the over, is because the Spurs are not definitively good against the 3pt shot and Washington are shooting 34+ 3pt shots per game, 16th most and being that they are the smaller team they are liable to shoot more 3s instead of attacking the paint. And that could spell major issues for the Spurs.

- This Wizards are due for a high scoring game, being that they have trended under the past 4 games, and the last time they hit an Over, was against the Spurs 5 games back from today.

- Spurs have gone under the past 2 games but those games were against bottom 25 offenses (Timberwolves and Blazers) this game should be much fast paced and less defensive than those games, because before those 2 matchups the Spurs hit 4 straight Overs.

Official Play: Over 241

Side Bet: Victor Wembanyama Over 11.5 Assists

Hail Mary: Spurs -3.5