I'm on the Kings +5 @ Cleveland for these reasons:

- I'm concerned with the Cleveland Cavaliers scoring abilities against pressuring offenses like Sacramento. We've seen Sacramento average 119 points over the last 6 games played (all on the road) and that's 5 points more than what Cleveland average this season.

- Stylistically this matchup favors the Kings if they can hit their three-point attempts. Cavs are top 10 defensively against the long ball, but are 22nd in making then, so the Kings could have a significant edge offensively if they are able to convert their average of 14 Threes tonight. (They shoot an average of 40 threes per game).

- Size matchup is even, if not favoring the Kings here, who will be playing the cavs possibly without starting center Jarrett Allen who has a sore ankle. Regardless of his availability, the Kings rebounding is on par with, though not better than Clevelands. And that makes the Kings even deadlier if they can successfully generate second chance opportunities vs an inferior scoring cavs team.

- Sacramento has won and covered the last 3 meetings. They played once this season and the kings won by 12 at home as 1pt favorites. This line opened as Cavs -5.5 & is could keep dropping as the game gets closer to play.

- Both teams are off till the 7th after this game. Kings will be going back home finally to play the Pistons, while Cleveland will be traveling to Washington for the first leg of a back to back. Kings should end this Road series stretch with a 6-1 record before going back to Sacramento.

Official Play: Kings +5

Side Bet: Over 233.5

Hail Mary: Harrison Barnes over 12.5 Points Scored