I'm on Akron +2 @ Toledo, for these reasons:

- Akron are 7-3 on the road and beat Toledo at home 77-70 as 3 pt favorites

- Comically bad mismatch defensively. Toledo allow 77 points per game and 49% shooting from the field.

- Akron shoot 25 threes per game and Toledo are allowing 34% shooting from long range.

- Toledo are #21 in 3pt percentage BUT, Akron held them to 2 made 3pt shots last meeting, and Akron are 22nd in the nation defensively against the long ball.

- Toledo will struggle on the boards here, though they barely lost the battle of the boards last time, it's likely they shoot more from the outside at home and if they aren't firing on all cylinders I expect Akron to clean up the missed shots.

- This game is close for a reason on the books, and I will take the team who is better defensively and allow less Freethrows to opposing teams.

Official Play: Akron +2

Side Bet: Under 150