I'm on the Mavs Moneyline vs Sacramento for these reasons:

- I know this is a road game, but the wrong team is favored here. Mavs have been the talk of the League since the Allstar break, and Kyrie/Lukas dynamic has been more and more solidified.

- Kings struggle with teams who can slow down their pace (Last losses at home were to the Knicks and Rockets who play at a slow methodical pace offensively). Mavs defense is as good as the Rockets and Knicks, but to dictate a slow pace vs a fast paced Kings team will make things easier on their defense.

- Matchup around the rim for the Mavs vs Sabonis of the Kings will be much more even this time with Dallas acquiring PJ Washington and Daniel Gafford. Gafford has averaged 8 rebounds the last 10 games, and averaged 15 points during that stretch as well.

- Gaurd Play superiority is with the Mavs who have the Duo to really put the Kings on their back foot, especially with the Kings missing Kevin Huerter from the lineup for the rest of the season. The Kings never had much depth at guard and will be relying on Fox and Monk to carry the team at the guard position.

- Kings are the more mistake prone team, who struggle to get to the free-throw line and struggle when they do shoot free-throws.

- I'm taking the hotter team who are 4-1 in the last 5 road games and are 40-31 ATS this season. Both teams are 40-29 record wise this season so this will be prime spot for both parties.

Official Play: Mavs Moneyline

Side Bet: Over 236.5

Hail Mary: Kyrie over 24.5 points