Im on the over 46.5 in this Raiders @ Buccaneers game for these reasons:

- Buccaneers defense isn’t what it’s cracked up to be lately, and missing 3 DBs, and 3 linebackers isn’t going to help a defense that is 28th in yards per game allowed, and 30th in passing yards allowed. AOC at QB for the raiders just put up 340 yards vs the Chiefs in Arrowhead! There’s no reason to believe this isn’t an easier matchup for the kid and that will only force Baker Mayfield to be MORE aggressive in the passing game as he usually is at home.

- Raiders defense is more sound, but the allow the 24th most completions in the league, and Baker mayfield is top 5 is pass attempts this season. He’s got a plethora of options in this passing game and he’s going to move up and down the field with ease here, mainly because the offensive line is going to buy baker a lot of time because the raiders only have one elite pass rusher in Max Crosby but that doesn’t help a team vs an elite OLine that also doesn’t allow a lot of sacks.

- We only need 2 TDs from the Raiders here, and they should get to 20 points today on the road after a game they should’ve won in KC, while the raiders are allowing 28 points per game to opponents, and we can book the buccs for 28 plus points here

Official Play: Over 46.5

Side Bet: Chase McLaughlin over 7.5 kicking points

Hail Mary: Aidan OConnell over 239 passing yards