My free game preview for Friday's UFL clash is available on our website!

Depending on the sportsbook, the spread is as low as 3.5 and as high as 4.5. In that case, I lean towards the Renegades ATS, as the Stallions were upset in Week 1 and lost their starting QB, Alex McGough, in Week 2. Backup QB Matt Corral has name appeal, but he tossed two picks in relief against Michigan. He's facing an Arlington defense that has held both of their opponents to nine points, getting in the backfield and knocking down passes in the secondary. With the experienced Luis Perez leading their passing attack and a former NFL back in Kallen Ballage toting the rock, the Renegades' offense has enough talent to at least keep the score close on Friday night, too.

Betting Trends: The over is 21-11 when New Orleans is a road underdog and 20-11 when Milwaukee is a home favorite this season. 

The over is 6-1-1 in Milwaukee's last eight games and 2-0-1 in New Orleans' last three. The over is also 7-2-1 in the previous ten matchups between these teams. The Bucks may not play inspired defense in this game with the Pistons looming, giving the Pelicans a shot at covering and pushing the total over 221. These teams rank 14th and 15th in pace, meaning both teams should feel comfortable with the style of play. NOLA averaged 109.6 points in its last three games, a point total that would be enough for the over to cash. Considering how porous the Pelicans' defense is, especially in the paint (26th in rim defense), the Bucks will pour on the points tomorrow night.

Prediction for Thursday's game:

Chris Bassitt has a good track record against Boston, posting a 2.40 ERA and 40 strikeouts in 45 career innings. He held the Red Sox to seven total earned runs in his four outings against them last season. He was also a better pitcher on the road in 2024 (3.58 ERA vs. 4.56 at Rogers Centre). I trust him to take care of business against the struggling Sox lineup. I can't say the same about Walker Buehler, who has only made 18 appearances since 2022 due to injuries. He hasn't been sharp in his first two starts this year, ranking in the 24th percentile in barrel percentage and 26th percentile in K percentage.