Point Spread: -21.50 | -110.00 Michigan (Away)
Michigan's offense ranks in the top ten in both EPA/Play and success rate, dominating on the ground game after game. The passing attack has shined too, ranking in the top ten in passing yards per attempt. QB JJ McCarthy will look to put on a show with noted QB whisper Jim Harbaugh back on the sidelines, and I'm confident he will do so against an Iowa secondary missing its best player (Cooper DeJean). Aside from a 31-0 shellacking vs. Penn State, Iowa's defense benefitted from a weak schedule comprised of mediocre-to-poor Big Ten West offenses.
The Wolverines' defense will exact revenge, too. Michigan was dominant against both the pass and the run this season and ranked 17th nationally in opponent third down conversion rate. Iowa ranked last in success rate and second to last in EPA/Play — will it even score in this game?
I'll bet on the Wolverines to win big in Indianapolis, stamping their ticket to the College Football Playoff.
Point Spread: 3.50 | -110.00 SMU (Away)
SMU's elite secondary (15th in passing yards allowed) and pass rush (40 sacks) will be x-factors, as Tulane relies heavily on its passing attack. The Mustangs are ranked in the top 20 nationally in pressure rate, Havoc, and sack percentage. The secondary surrendered just 6.0 yards per passing completion, as well. Green Wave QB Michael Pratt had a superb season (21 TDs and four INTs), but he's also been inconsistent and is coming off one of his worst performances (9-for-22 passing).
Tulane's passing attack could be without two of its main receiving threats, as Lawrence Keys III and Jha'Quan Jackson are questionable to play. The pass-catching duo combined for 57 receptions, 1,020 receiving yards, and 11 TDs, so if they can't play or are limited by injuries, the Green Wave will be hampered.
Another factor to consider is that Tulane doesn't run the football effectively. Without a complementary ground game, the Mustangs' pass rush will be unleashed. When pressured this season, Pratt was much less efficient, completing 44.8 percent of his passes for 5.8 yards, compared to a 74.4 completion percentage for 9.9 yards when not under duress. Considering he was pressured on 31 percent of his dropbacks, the Tulane offensive line could be in trouble against this SMU pass rush.
While the Mustangs' offense will be running at less than 100 percent without their starting QB, backup Kevin Jennings performed well enough in relief this season (18-for-24 passing for 330 yards, three TDs, and zero INTs). The Tulane secondary is vulnerable, too, as it ranked 100th in passing yards allowed. Even without Preston Stone, SMU can be counted on to move the chains and finish its drives (16th in red zone scoring percentage).
Point Spread: -9.50 | -105.00 Oregon (Away)
Total: 66.00 | -110.00 Under
Point Spread: 6.50 | -110.00 Philadelphia (Away)
Total: 222.50 | -110.00 Over
|Total: 228.00 | -110.00, Under||Premium||Loss|
|Point Spread: -8.00 | -107.00, Creighton (Away)||Premium||Win|
|Point Spread: -9.00 | -103.00, Dallas (Home)||Premium||Loss|
|Point Spread: 5.50 | -103.00, LA Lakers (Away)||Premium||Loss|
|Total: 239.00 | -110.00, Under||Free||Loss|
|Money Line: 135.00, Texas Tech (Away)||Premium||Loss|
|Point Spread: 7.50 | -110.00, Liberty (Away)||Premium||Loss|
|Point Spread: -2.00 | -103.00, LA Clippers (Away)||Premium||Win|
|Point Spread: -9.00 | -105.00, Auburn (Home)||Premium||Win|
|Total: 154.00 | -104.00, Under||Free||Win|