We are taking the Kings at home -4.5 points vs the Mavericks for these reasons:

- Mavericks are not a deep team and will be too reliant on Anthony Davis to keep competitive in this matchup. The problem with that is, Anthony Davis has the toughest matchup on both ends of the floor vs Domantas Sabonis who has defense, offense, playmaking, and rebounding skills that greatly rival the greatness of Anthony Davis. Davis will have his work cut out for him in terms of leading his team in scoring as well as defending a Swiss Army knife like Sabonis.

- Defense overall favors the Kings, especially at the Gaurd and Forward spots, with Demar DeRozen and Keegan Murray who are lengthy perimeter defenders that will cause issues for a Mavericks team that does not have a lot of scoring threats, having to trust an old Klay Thompson, and role players who wouldn’t be a #1 or #2 option on any other team in the NBA. The Mavs are going to need a big game from PJ Washington and Naji Marshall, but I do not see that happening at all tonight.

- Mavs have lost 4 of the last 6 road games and have a bad overall road record of 17 wins and 25 losses. They only covered the spread of 2 of the last 6 road games too (they won those 2 games they covered), so if we can agree on the Moneyline for Kings to beat the Mavs outright, we can also agree on the spread of the Kings winning by 5 or more.

Official Play: Kings -4.5

Side Bet: Domantas Sabonis over 13.5 rebounds

Hail Mary: Anthony Davis Under 26.5 points