Burnley is coming into this match with a recent trend to the under in their matches. They have gone under 2.5 goals in 3 of their last 5 matches and in 3 of their last 4 Premier League matches. They are going to have some confidence here as they are coming off of their 1st win of the season against Luton Town but now they are playing a much stronger team and that win against Luton was also a midweek match so they are at a bit of a rest disadvantage. Their attack has still been struggling recently as they have gone scoreless in 2 of their last 3 EPL matches but their defense has also been playing much better as they have allowed just 1 goal or less in 3 of their last 4 EPL matches. They are going up against a Chelsea side that has been in much better form recently and has also been trending heavily to the under in their recent matches. They have gone under 2.5 goals in their last 5 straight matches and their defense has been very good in those. They have only allowed 2 goals in their last 5 matches and they have kept clean sheets in 3 of their last 4 matches, including their last 2 straight. Their attack has still been struggling to score goals though as they have scored just 3 goals in their last 5 matches, going scoreless in 3 of those 5 matches. Chelsea has a very good defense and Burnley is going to struggle to find the net here but they will also be playing a more defensive style themselves at home against a stronger team that has also been struggling to score. Burnley has not kept a clean sheet all season either so that is going to be a focus for them in this match. This is going to be a low scoring and defensive match that stays under 2.5 goals.
England Premier League: Burnley/Chelsea under 2.5 goals, Rot. 200130