The Grizzlies are coming into this game with a 48-34 record this season, but they have not been playing well in their recent games. They are coming off of a 132-97 win against an awful Mavericks team in their last game of the season, but they have lost 2 of their last 3 games. They lost at home to the Timberwolves 141-125 and they lost on the road against the Nuggets 117-109, both of those losses being very important as they could have secured a playoff spot instead of being in this play-in tournament. They are 22-19 on the road this season and they have won 3 of their last 4 games on the road, but 2 of those 3 wins also came against teams with losing records. They have not been as strong on the road this season compared to being at home, and they have struggled a lot more when they have had to face teams with better records. They are going up against a Warriors team that is also 48-34 this season and they blew a chance to get out of this play-in tournament by losing their last game of the season to the Clippers in OT. They have not been playing well recently either, losing 2 of their last 3 as well as 3 of their last 5 games, but they were kicked out in the play-in tournament last season so they are going to get up for this game at home as their team is much improved from last year. Jimmy Butler has been a key factor in their recent success over the last 2 months, and his defensive effort is going to be key to the Warriors winning this game. The Warriors have also beaten the Grizzlies by 8+ points in each of their last 2 meetings, and 1 of those wins came in Memphis as well. The Warriors will cover the spread in this game.