Umass already has a game under their belt and they have shown that they have a defense and can stop the run. They showed a lot of improvement in their win against New Mexico State, as the power 5 talent they got in the portal showed their skill, including their Clemson transfer QB who had a solid game. Auburn wasn't great last season, in fact, since QB Bo Nix left, they have not been good. They are slated to show improvement this season with the changes they made in the portal but this spread may just be a tad too big for Auburn to clear right now. They will score and win the game but not by almost 5.5 TD's. Take the points.

Massachusetts is 9-1 ATS against SEC opponents in their last 10 SEC games. Umass in a road game where the total is between 49.5 and 52 are 5-1 in their last six games. Massachusetts are 7-13 ATS in their last 20 games when playing as the underdog. Auburn are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games played in September. Auburn are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games when playing as the favorite.

Best bet: take the points with UMass to cover the spread.