Denver loves to smash weak teams at home in this spot, but they have struggled lately to get some covers against OKC and the Magic who beat them at home recently. Even though Detroit looks like every team's punching bag, they have a decent covering record against Denver. Detroit are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games against Denver. Ever since they won their game to stop their history breaking losing streak, they have covered five of their last six games. There is a very good chance that Denver wins by 10-12 points and Detroit covers.

The league stat says to play against favorites of 10 or more points like Denver in this spot, after going over the total by 18 or more points total in their last three games against opponents after going over the total by 36 or more points total in their last five games pans out 80.4% of the time or 37-9 SU over the last five seasons.

Detroit are 4-2 ATS in their last 6 games played in January. Detroit are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games. Denver are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games. Denver are 15-4 SU in their last 19 games at home. Detroit is 6-4 ATS this season as underdog of 10 or more points. Denver are 2-8 ATS after having won 6 or 7 of their last 8 games. Denver are 1-4 ATS this season after a loss by 6 points or less.

Best bet: take the points with Detroit.