NIU started the season off great until they lost six in a row. They hobble into this game on the road against a rival in the conference who are only 3-5 so this game which means more to Ball State who are hot right now at home. They have covered six of their last ten games versus NIU too. Take the better team who are better at their 3 point shots and at the free throw line to get it done. Ball State are 6-2 ATS this season at home.

Northern Illinois are 0-10 ATS in their last 10 games. Northern Illinois are 0-8 SU in their last 8 games. Northern Illinois are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games against Ball State. Northern Illinois are 1-7 SU in their last 8 games against Ball State. Northern Illinois are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games on the road. Ball State are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games. Ball State are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games at home. NIU are 0-8 ATS this season when playing only their 2nd game in a week. NIU are 4-9 ATS as an underdog this season. NIU are 1-7 ATS this season after a loss by 10 points or more. NIU are 0-7 ATS this seaon after allowing 75 points or more 2 straight games. Ball State are 8-1 ATS this season after a game where they made 78% of their free throws or better.

Best bet: lay the points with Ball State.