Montana State is in the final championship game for the ninth time in the schools history. The Bobcats have gone 4-4 when they are in this spot. In fact, they have won final spots in the last four years in this tournament, and won the last two years, earning automatic bids into the NCAA Tournament. This season, they haven't been the best Bobcats team seen in previous seasons, or like last year's team. In fact, they lost both games to the Grizzlies this season by 10 plus points in each game. They will face an excited Grizzlies team that hasn't gone to the final since 2019 and under coach DeCuire, they are 14-4 ATS versus Montana State under his leadership and this is the first time he meets up with the Bobcats in this situation. The Grizzlies have won this final 11 times in their school history and these two teams are definitely arch rivals. The motivation and momentum are with Montana as they are one win away from going to the Big Dance. They are just the better team on both sides of the ball, they do the little technical aspects much better, and have been more dominate on offense this season. The Grizzlies are shooting over 48% in the field and are much better at the free throw line, in 3 point shooting, and at rebounding. The Grizzlies are better in their defensive game as well. Montana has gone 8-2 in its past 10 games, with a 6-4 ATS record in those games. In their last three games versus the Bobcats, they are 2-1 SU but 3-0 ATS. This game will go back and forth and the Bobcats will hang around because they have been in this spot before, but the Grizzlies will pull away late in the second half to get the win and cover as they are much more talented. The value is to take the Grizzlies in this spot.

Montana State are 4-1 SU in their last 5 games. Montana State are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games against Montana. Montana State are 4-16 SU in their last 20 games against Montana. Montana are 4-2 ATS in their last 6 games. Montana are 7-1 SU in their last 8 games.

Best bet: lay the points with Montana.