Cleveland has already taken one game in this series and now they have Lively on the mound who is the better pitcher over Berrios. The Guardians are just in better form right now, they are hitting on offense and have the better bullpen. They play that small ball to perfection and it’s going to be tough for the Jays on the road in this spot to get a win. Their bats are ice cold and they have struggled with pitching all season. Berrios did win his one start against Cleveland this season at home but they aren’t going to get the run support on the road in this game. Lively lost his only Jays start this season but he should be fine in this game to pitch a good game at home where his team will back him up with everything else. The Guardians are 23-9 at home and are the better team with the better lineup.

Best bet: take Cleveland on the moneyline (ML).