This game should see some runs, especially with Baz on the mound for Tampa Bay who is still inconsistent and struggling with control and has only pitched in three starts. His WHIP is closer to 2.00 and he should give up some runs in this bad travel spot for the Rays to a better hitting Reds team. The total has gone Over in 8 of Cincinnati's last 11 games and the Reds have gone Over in 4 of their last 6 games on the road. Lodolo is on the mound and he hasn’t pitched his best in the last month or so with a higher ERA in his last couple of starts, despite the WHIP of 1.12. He is susceptible to giving the Rays some runs. The Over is 3-1-2 in the Rays last 6 games versus a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. Head to head, the Over is 3-1-1 in the last 5 meetings in Tampa Bay between these two.There should be enough runs to go over the total in this spot.

Best bet: take the Over the Total.