Both pitchers in this game are going to give up some runs and the total will fly over. Mikolas for St. Louis on the mound hasn’t been as good as he was last season, he’s given up 8 runs and 4 homeruns in his last two starts. Even though he pitched a better game in his last start, his xFIP is rising showing that he will go back into regression, and has an ERA of 6.61 when pitching at home. Washington has put up 24 runs on this team in two games and they are hitting the Cardinals well at .325 batting average. He’s going to be susceptible to the Nationals bats. Hertz is on the mound for the Nationals and he’s had limited starts this season but has given up home runs five of his eighth season starts. He’s also given up 7 earned runs in his last two starts and the Cardinals will get to him because they are hitting lefties well right now. On the road, Hertz has an ERA over 9.00 and a WHIP of 2.14. The Over is 25-10 in the Cardinals last 35 games as a favorite and head to head, these two teams have gone over in 12 of their last 14 games against each other. When the Nationals are on the road playing the Cardinals, The total has gone Over in 5 of their last 5 games.

Best bet: take the Over the Total.