Most everyone is playing for the Thunder and have locked up the number one seed but this is a short number for them to cover and they should. Gilgeous-Alexander did not have a great shooting night in his last game so expect him to have a better night against the Rockets who have been inconsistent in their last several games against the spread, covering only two of their last seven games despite racking up wins while OKC has covered their last eleven games and are more trustworthy in this spot as their last eight of nine wins have been by double digits. Houston is off a big blowout win too, coming into this game but they are only 2-5 ATS off a home blowout win by 20 points or more this season.

Best bet: lay the points with Oklahoma City.