The Leafs did what they had to do at home taking both games and preserving home ice advantage. Now the venue switches to Ottawa where the home team was solid there all season with a 27-11-3 record at home. However, this team is young and inexperienced in the playoffs and they are struggling with their offense, and don’t have the scoring depth to beat the Leafs in the series. Toronto has the offensive depth, is playing well on defense, getting solid goaltending and their powerplay is solid. Toronto has the confidence to come into this venue and get the win as the better team in the series and there is good value with this underdog. The Leafs are also 3-1 straight up when leading in a playoff series going back three seasons and they only lose this game if they don't show up, however, Toronto seems to be more focused and disciplined this time around.

Best bet: take Toronto on the moneyline (ML).