I'm backing Chicago to win straight-up at home against Minnesota. Following four straight losses, this will be a crucial bounce-back opportunity for the Bears. While some may have already written them off, I see that as value I can't pass up. Two of those losses, including last week's game, came on the last play, as the Commanders walked it off with a miraculous Hail Mary, and the Packers blocked a 46-yard field goal to steal the wins.

Minnesota has a solid squad, but it won't win the Super Bowl. It's won three straight against teams it should have beaten (Colts, Jags and Titans) after dropping consecutive games to the Lions and Rams. They weren't overly dominant in those three wins, though, and face a challenging upcoming stretch. In their third straight road game, I don't see the Vikings pulling out the win against a desperate division rival off a blown win.

Take the points if you must, but I'm betting the Bears to win straight-up at +200 odds on Sunday versus Minnesota!