Wisconsin does not rebound the basketball well enough (253rd nationally in rebounding), but Pitt does (62nd). The Panthers also take care of the basketball (top 50 in turnovers per game) and have shooters, unlike Arizona, who dominated the Badgers in the paint but couldn't hit the ocean from three-point distance. Pitt is also stout defensively, allowing only 60 points per game (21st).

I'll lay the two points with Pittsburgh versus Wisconsin.