EAGLES -4.5 vs. PACKERS: FREE BET
(NFL) Packers (GB) vs. Eagles (PHI),
Point Spread: -4.50 | -115.00 Eagles (PHI) (Home)
Result: Win
Read my full game preview: https://winnersandwhiners.com/games/nfl/1-12-2025/green-bay-packers-vs-philadelphia-eagles-prediction-7689/

Betting Trends: The Eagles are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games. Jalen Hurts is 14-7 ATS vs. teams that are .500 or better SU during his NFL career.

The Eagles are the better team, plain and simple.

They have proven their mettle against playoff teams, beating the Packers, Rams, Ravens, Steelers and Washington (split). They ranked sixth in offensive EPA/play and third in EPA/play on defense. While Hurts could be limited, he had two weeks to recover and his injury does not affect his legs or arm.

Green Bay has not fared well against top competition, as only two of its 11 wins came against playoff teams, and those wins were against a Rams team without Puka Nacua and Cooper Kupp and a Texans team that has been trending down all season (and will likely lose in the Wild Card round). The Packers are missing their top downfield weapon in Christian Watson (21.4 yards per catch) and Jordan Love's elbow injury will certainly affect his performance. Defensively, Green Bay can be vulnerable against the pass, ranking 28th in Dropback Success Rate against.

I'll lay the points with the Eagles. I believe in their body of work and trust them to cover at home against a Packers squad that's banged up and untrustworthy against top competition.