An Over with Paul Skenes on the mound may seem odd, but consider the fact that his ERA of 3.44 is a full 1.2 runs higher than his career mark. In his three starts, one was good, one was average, and one was bad. Two of those three games went Over the total. He’s also going up against a Nationals team that has seen the Over go 10-5, including cashing in their last seven. The Nats are sending Brad Lord to the mound, but since he’s making just his second start after staring in the bullpen, he’s still likely limited to three innings. After that, the Buccos will take their hacks against a Wash pen that is dead last in ERA.